UMass 
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 93.4630
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
208 H Army Patriot (12- 2, 97.9) 9-16
214 H Quinnipiac MAAC ( 3-12, 88.2) 19- 5
218 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 8- 5, 94.5) 11- 7
222 H NJIT America East ( 1-11, 86.5) 12- 4
301 A Albany America East ( 7- 8, 93.2) 10- 9
308 A Vermont America East ( 5- 7, 91.5) 11- 7
315 A Rutgers B1G ( 7- 9, 95.0) 11- 7
318 A Mass-Lowell America East ( 4- 9, 88.5) 10- 9
322 H Brown Ivy ( 3-10, 93.0) 7- 8
329 A St Josephs Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 95.0) 11-10
405 H High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 93.0) 9-14
412 H St B'venture Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 89.0) 15- 4
419 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.4) 5-14
425 H Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 5- 9, 91.3) 15-16
501 N Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.4) 4-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H Army 9-16 -7 -4 -1.40
214 H Quinnipiac 19- 5 14 6 0.00
218 H Dartmouth 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.19
222 H NJIT 12- 4 8 8 0.00
301 A Albany 10- 9 1 -1 1.62
308 A Vermont 11- 7 4 1 + 2.87
315 A Rutgers 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.36
318 A Mass-Lowell 10- 9 1 4 - -3.11
322 H Brown 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.30
329 A St Josephs 11-10 1 -2 + 3.44
405 H High Point 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.36
412 H St B'venture 15- 4 11 5 0.00
419 A Richmond 5-14 -9 -5 -0.22
425 H Hobart 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.02
501 N Richmond 4-14 -10 -4 -1.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H High Point 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.36
425 H Hobart 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.02
318 A Mass-Lowell 10- 9 1 4 - -3.11
322 H Brown 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.30
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
315 A Rutgers 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.36
218 H Dartmouth 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.19
308 A Vermont 11- 7 4 1 + 2.87
329 A St Josephs 11-10 1 -2 + 3.44
|
UMass Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
UMass |
Albany |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
Army |
Army |
Army |
 
| |
Bellarmine |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
UMass |
Binghamton |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) |
UMass |
Boston Univ |
Boston Univ |
|
Boston Univ   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
 
| |
Bryant |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) |
UMass |
Bucknell |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
UMass |
Canisius |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
UMass |
Cleveland St |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
UMass |
Colgate |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Colgate |
Cornell |
Cornell |
|
Cornell   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
Dartmouth |
UMass |
UMass |
 
|
Delaware |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
UMass |
Denver |
Denver |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Denver |
Detroit |
UMass |
|
 
| UMass |
Drexel |
UMass |
|
UMass   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Duke |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Duke |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Fairfield |
Georgetown |
Georgetown |
|
Georgetown   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Hampton |
UMass |
|
 
| UMass |
Harvard |
Harvard |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Harvard |
High Point |
High Point |
High Point |
 
| |
Hobart |
Hobart |
Hobart |
 
|
Hofstra |
UMass |
|
 
| UMass |
Holy Cross |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
UMass |
Iona |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
UMass |
Jacksonville |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
UMass |
JHU |
JHU |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
JHU |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Lafayette |
Le Moyne |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
UMass |
Lehigh |
Lehigh |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Lehigh |
LIU |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
UMass |
Loyola |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
UMass |
Manhattan |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
UMass |
Marist |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
UMass |
Marquette |
Marquette |
|
 
| Marquette |
Maryland |
Maryland |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Maryland |
Mass-Lowell |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
Mercer |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
UMass |
Mercyhurst |
UMass |
|
UMass   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Merrimack |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
UMass |
Michigan |
Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Michigan |
Monmouth |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
UMass |
Mt St Marys |
UMass |
|
UMass   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Navy |
Navy |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Navy |
NJIT |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
No Carolina |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
 
| Notre Dame |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Ohio State |
Penn |
Penn |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Penn |
Penn State |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Penn State |
Princeton |
Princeton |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) |
Princeton |
Providence |
Providence |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Providence |
Queens |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
UMass |
Quinnipiac |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
Richmond |
Richmond |
Richmond |
 
| |
Rob Morris |
UMass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
UMass |
Rutgers |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
Sacred Heart |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
UMass |
Siena |
Siena |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Siena |
St B'venture |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
St Johns |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
UMass |
St Josephs |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
Stony Brook |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
UMass |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Syracuse |
Towson |
Towson |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Towson |
UMBC |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) |
UMass |
Utah |
UMass |
|
UMass   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Vermont |
UMass |
UMass |
 
| |
Villanova |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Villanova |
Virginia |
Virginia |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Virginia |
VMI |
UMass |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
UMass |
Wagner |
UMass |
|
UMass   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Yale |
Yale |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Yale |
PowerWise = 43

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Army (12- 2, 97.9) 9-16 -1.98 16.84 -0.86 0.96 -2.71
0 H Quinnipiac ( 3-12, 88.2) 19- 5 -11.72 7.09 -0.86 0.96 5.96
0 H Dartmouth ( 8- 5, 94.5) 11- 7 -5.39 13.43 -0.86 0.96 12.01
0 H NJIT ( 1-11, 86.5) 12- 4 -13.43 5.38 -0.86 0.96 4.33
0 A Albany ( 7- 8, 93.2) 10- 9 -6.67 12.14 0.86 0.96 12.43
0 A Vermont ( 5- 7, 91.5) 11- 7 -8.42 10.39 0.86 0.96 10.75
0 A Rutgers ( 7- 9, 95.0) 11- 7 -4.93 13.88 0.86 0.96 14.09
0 A Mass-Lowell ( 4- 9, 88.5) 10- 9 -11.40 7.41 0.86 0.96 7.90
0 H Brown ( 3-10, 93.0) 7- 8 -6.88 11.94 -0.86 0.96 -7.39
0 A St Josephs ( 9- 6, 95.0) 11-10 -4.86 13.96 0.86 0.96 14.16
0 H High Point ( 7- 9, 93.0) 9-14 -6.94 11.87 -0.86 0.96 -7.45
0 H St B'venture ( 6-10, 89.0) 15- 4 -10.87 7.94 -0.86 0.96 6.77
0 A Richmond (13- 3, 97.4) 5-14 -2.52 16.29 0.86 0.96 -1.59
0 H Hobart ( 5- 9, 91.3) 15-16 -8.59 10.22 -0.86 0.96 -9.04
0 N Richmond (13- 3, 97.4) 4-14 -2.52 16.29 -0.00 0.96 -2.41
------
57.81
|
winning pts = 88.3969 losing points = -30.5880
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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